Supply Rebounds from 2020 Levels While Demand Continues to Rise

Market times fastest in 14 years amid record home prices in the Twin Cities

(May 17, 2021) – According to new data from the Minneapolis Area REALTORS® and the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®, seller activity in April was up 21.7 percent compared to last year, when new listings dipped partly due to COVID-19. The number of homes that were put on the market in April is comparable to pre-pandemic levels in 2019 and 2018.

The median price of a home in the 16-county Twin Cities metro rose to $337,000, a 10.5 percent increase from last April and a new record high for the region. Even so, half of homes go under contract within 8 days of listing, the fastest time in at least 14 years. This is a clear indication that the metro is still in need of a greater housing supply to keep up with rising demand.

“It’s promising to see improvements in housing supply, but it’s clear that we aren’t out of the woods just yet,” said Todd Walker, President of Minneapolis Area REALTORS®. “In time, more potential sellers will be encouraged to list, enticed by rising prices and more inventory. In the meantime, developers need incentives to expand new inventory, particularly in affordable price ranges.”

Although supply rebounded to that of pre-pandemic levels in April, the increase in demand was even greater. Pending sales are up 34.0 percent from April of last year and exceed 2019 numbers by 8.2 percent. With 5,619 homes for sale, the Twin Cities currently has 1.0 month’s supply of inventory. Typically, 4-6 months is considered a balanced market.

“Buyers still benefit from record low mortgage rates at around 3.0 percent,” according to Tracy Baglio, President of the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®. “Although a limited supply is driving prices higher, low rates are a strong incentive to offer a competitive bid for a home.”

Activity varies by area, price point and property type. Sales of single-family homes were up 32.0 percent in Minneapolis and 14.8 percent in St. Paul, suggesting demand remains strong in the core cities. Across the 16-county Twin Cities region condo sales rose 50.6 percent, outpacing single-family and townhomes. Sales on previously owned homes rose 10.3 percent while new construction rose 2.0 percent. Luxury property sales ($1M+) are up 180.6 percent from last April, 90.6 percent from April 2019.

April 2021 by the numbers compared to a year ago

  • Sellers listed 7,468 properties on the market, a 21.7 percent increase from last April
  • Buyers signed 6,220 purchase agreements, up 33.6 percent (5,088 closed sales, up 8.8 percent)
  • Inventory levels fell 45.8 percent to 5,619 units
  • Month’s Supply of Inventory was down 52.4 percent to 1.0 month (4-6 months is balanced)
  • The Median Sales Price rose 10.5 percent to $337,000
  • Days on Market decreased 34.0 percent to 31 days, on average (median of 8 days, down 52.9 percent)
  • Changes in Sales activity varied by market segment
    • Single family sales were up 3.6 percent; condo sales rose 50.6 percent; townhome sales increased 17.0 percent
    • Traditional sales rose 10.1 percent; foreclosure sales were down 44.1 percent; short sales fell 69.2 percent
    • Previously owned sales were up 10.3 percent; new construction sales climbed 2.0 percent

From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending May 8, 2021

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest National Delinquency Survey found the seasonally adjusted delinquency rate of one-to-four unit residential properties decreased to 6.38 percent of all loans outstanding in Q1 2021, which is 35 basis points lower than Q4 2020 but still 202 basis points higher than the same time last year. The COVID-19 induced delinquency rate peaked in Q2 2020 at 8.22 percent and over the last three quarters has experienced the quickest decline in the history of the survey. Although delinquencies remain elevated, the continued declines are encouraging and are expected to continue.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending May 8:

  • New Listings increased 0.7% to 1,829
  • Pending Sales increased 24.5% to 1,571
  • Inventory decreased 47.0% to 5,524

For the month of April:

  • Median Sales Price increased 10.5% to $337,000
  • Days on Market decreased 34.0% to 31
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 3.5% to 103.4%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 52.4% to 1.0

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending May 1, 2021

The National Association of Home Builders’ latest Housing Trends Report found that in Q1 2021, 16% of American adults were looking to purchase a home in the next 12 months, up from 10% from a year ago and now at the highest level since Q1 2018. The Millennial generation saw the largest change in expectations year over year, with 32% planning to buy in the next 12 months, double the levels seen in Q1 2020.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending May 1:

  • New Listings increased 10.8% to 1,730
  • Pending Sales increased 25.5% to 1,534
  • Inventory decreased 47.8% to 5,406

For the month of March:

  • Median Sales Price increased 10.5% to $328,231
  • Days on Market decreased 36.1% to 39
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.7% to 101.9%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.4% to 1.0

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending April 24, 2021

A bit of good news this week on the home affordability front as the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage slipped below 3 percent to 2.97%, according to Freddie Mac. The benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate, while still higher than a few months ago, remains more than one third of a percent less than the same time last year. The slight pullback in rates may be short lived, however, as Nadia Evangelou, senior economist for the National Association of REALTORS®, still expects rates to rise in the coming months.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 24:

  • New Listings increased 14.5% to 1,687
  • Pending Sales increased 38.4% to 1,509
  • Inventory decreased 47.5% to 5,337

For the month of March:

  • Median Sales Price increased 10.4% to $328,000
  • Days on Market decreased 36.1% to 39
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.7% to 101.9%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.4% to 1.0

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending April 17, 2021

A new analysis by housing giant Freddie Mac suggests that the U.S. housing market needs 3.8 million more single-family homes nationwide to meet demand. Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, noted “we should have almost four million more housing units if we had kept up with demand the last few years.” While new construction activity has increased in recent years, it has never fully recovered to its previous peak more than fifteen years ago.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 17:

  • New Listings increased 19.0% to 1,582
  • Pending Sales increased 45.3% to 1,481
  • Inventory decreased 47.6% to 5,276

For the month of March:

  • Median Sales Price increased 10.4% to $328,000
  • Days on Market decreased 36.1% to 39
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.7% to 101.9%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 55.0% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending April 10, 2021

Home prices are not the only rising cost for prospective homebuyers. ATTOM Data Solutions’ latest property tax analysis of nearly 87 million single-family homes in the U.S. found the average property tax bill rose 4.4 percent from 2019 to 2020, to an average of $3,719 for a single-family home. Nationwide, the average effective tax rate was 1.1% of the property’s value in 2020, down slightly from 1.14% in 2019.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 10:

  • New Listings increased 27.1% to 1,658
  • Pending Sales increased 20.8% to 1,249
  • Inventory decreased 49.3% to 5,086

For the month of March:

  • Median Sales Price increased 10.4% to $328,000
  • Days on Market decreased 36.1% to 39
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.7% to 101.9%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 52.6% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Tight market pushes home prices to new record high in Twin Cities

Inventory hits an 18-year low with buyers competing for fewer listings

(April 16, 2021) – According to new data from the Minneapolis Area REALTORS® and the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®, the median price of a home in the 16-county Twin Cities metro increased 10.3 percent from last March to a record high of $327,500. Prices were driven in part by a lack of supply.

The number of homes for sale at the end of March was half of what was available a year ago. That marks an 18-year low and amounts to 0.9 months of supply. A balanced market typically has 4-6 months of supply. Market times shrank 37.7 percent to 38 days and multiple offers remain commonplace.

“Demand is still growing faster than supply,” according to Tracy Baglio, President of the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®. “With less than one month of supply, buyers must be patient and understand they may lose out on a few bids before an offer is accepted. Be ready to act fast.”

Sellers listed 11.6 percent fewer homes than March 2020, offering little relief to buyers eager for more options. However, sales activity climbed above year-ago levels for the tenth straight month. Buyers continue to be motivated by attractive mortgage rates, a healing labor market and a desire for more space.

“On top of lightning-fast market times, those who choose to sell their home are often rewarded with offers at or above asking price,” said Todd Walker, President of Minneapolis Area REALTORS®. “For buyers, that means writing strong, straightforward offers right away. For sellers, it means their listings will stand out and will likely sell quickly at full price or better.”

Activity varies by area, price point and property type. Sales were up 31.9 percent in Minneapolis and 9.5 percent in St. Paul, suggesting demand remains strong in the core cities. Condos sales rose 31.7 percent, outpacing single-family and townhomes. New construction sales rose 25.5 percent while previously owned homes rose 0.7 percent. Sales of luxury properties ($1M+) have been soaring—up 70.9 percent from last March.

March 2021 by the numbers compared to a year ago

  • Sellers listed 6,587 properties on the market, an 11.6 percent decrease from last March
  • Buyers signed 5,747 purchase agreements, up 12.1 percent (4,342 closed sales, up 2.9 percent)
  • Inventory levels fell 50.7 percent to 4,907 units
  • Months Supply of Inventory was down 52.6 percent to 0.9 months (4-6 months is balanced)
  • The Median Sales Price rose 10.3 percent to $327,500
  • Days on Market decreased 37.7 percent to 38 days, on average (median of 11, down 57.7 percent)
  • Changes in Sales activity varied by market segment
    • Single family sales were down 1.1 percent; condo sales rose 31.7 percent; townhome sales increased 8.7 percent
    • Traditional sales rose 4.5 percent; foreclosure sales were down 42.9 percent; short sales fell 63.2 percent
    • Previously owned sales were up 0.7 percent; new construction sales climbed 25.2 percent

From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

For Week Ending April 3, 2021

The University of Michigan’s latest Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 84.9 points, up from 76.8 in February and the highest level since last March’s 89.1 reading. The index is an economic indicator of the overall health of the economy as determined by consumer opinion. Increasing values point to increasing consumer confidence in their own financial health and the health of the overall economy.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 3:

  • New Listings decreased 7.6% to 1,406
  • Pending Sales increased 21.8% to 1,358
  • Inventory decreased 49.4% to 5,051

For the month of February:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3% to 46
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.1% to 100.1%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.